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English Football Season 2007-2008
Total FFO bets 277, Total units staked 903, Total profit + 89.15 units, Total Yield for this season +10.12%
Seattle - Minnesota: Minnesota were overachieving in the beginning of the season and their current poor form(3-7 in the last 10) was expected to come sooner or later. Their game is pretty boring and Seattle should hundle their offence with ease. Minnesota hammered LA away from home in their last game and this looks like a logical let-down spot. Seattle are one of the best teams in the league and with their troubles away from home, winning "easy" games like this at home is a must to keep on track for the title. The last couple of games in Seattle in last season ended with a comfortable win for Seattle and today's result should be the same.
Atlanta - Chicago: The 2 teams already met twice and Chicago hammered Atlanta twice without any problems. Chicago lost Fowles, one of their best players a month ago and had problems without her in the beginning, but now they are on a good run(3-0 ATS in the last 3 games) and should beat this poor team from Atlanta today. Atlanta's problems are mainly at home, where they lost most of their games and are 2-8 ATS. Chicago are'nt world beaters, but have a clear advantage here, especially in the paint, where their scoring % have been very good lately.
A double of Seattle+Chicago gives a bit above the even money mark, worth a try with small stakes.
Well we had to stifle a yawn as the Williams sisters progressed without trouble into the final. It's been a poor womens competition this year with only Zheng providing some interest along the way. Having advised Venus Williams outright @7's at the beginning of the tournament (see forum) we are now sitty pretty as she now trades @2.1. It's enough to make a tasty guaranteed profit and that's what we would advise here. Matches between the sisters are not a good betting medium. This is a particularly tight family and rumours propound that it is often decided beforehand which sister is going to win. Although we don't believe that for a minute one clear fact is that Venus doesn't like playing her sister. The h2h between the two is 8-4 in Serena's favour and in interviews she has professed that she doesn't enjoy the matches. Serena is a far more competitive character and her demenanour suggests that she is eager to win whoever is playing. So those who followed in on Venus @7's lay off now and guarantee a nice profit while those who have nothing already on the match we'd advise a small stake on Serena to win @1.9 Centrebet. The Australian book have the standout price.
Books have done a pretty good job with handicaps, but we can still find some interesting stuff tonight. Houston are playing very good basketball lately and even though they have lost their last game at Connecticut by 10 the result does'nt really tell the whole story(Connecticut were leading by 4 with only 50 secs to go). Before this game, they won their last 2 away games and should get the win tonight as well. Atlanta are 0-16 and I won't be surprised if they will finish the season with a 0-34 record. They had high expectations this season, but in reality their game is too unorganized, too poor and against Houston's clever defense they won't get much. Tina Thompson might be out tonight for Houston, but she has been out in the last three games and Houston played well without her. Seattle are facing New York tonight and are expected to get the win as well. New York have beaten them a month ago by 14 points and its revenge time for Seattle. At home Seattle is one of the best teams in the league, with a 8-1 record. New York's offence is'nt strong enough to hundle Seattle's defense and Seattle are expected to beat New York without much problems. A double of Seattle + Houston ML gives a bit above the even money mark, worth a try with small-medium stakes.
Well the trends have been reversed for the second round of matches with goals flying in and the tournament taking off as a spectacle. Hopefully things will continue with the final round of games. This is a straight shoot out between these two sides for second spot behind Portugal. Although a draw will see a penalty shoot out it's hard to countenance that both sides won't go for the win in normal time. With both defences looking leaky and a doubt still over one of Turkey's key defenders, there should be goals in this one. Turkey's attack looked potent against the Swiss while the Czechs were the equal of Portugal for large parts of the game. Once again, one goal will open this up and if it comes in the first half there's a good chance of an over here. Low line and nice odds mean another value bet.
Surprising to see old hands like Lads and VC fall into this trap. We can thank Rafa Nadal for their generosity. Federer lost badly yesterday on the clay in France but past years tell us that this form is completely irrelevant to the turf of Wimbledon. While Nadal is the King of clay, Federer is an undoubted champion on grass. Federer last lost on grass in 2002, his record is equally impressive (55 consecutive wins) to Nadal's on clay and yet Nadal going into the French was around the 1.75 mark if not lower. Realistically only Nadal and Djokovic can possibly challenge Federer here, he won't play Nadal until the final and with the right draw will also avoid Djokovic. Either way he is umbeaten against both on this surface. These prices are clearly wrong and we'd be surprised to see them in a couple of weeks. Dive in early for this cracking value
The European Championships are devilishly hard to predict and can favour outsiders. Not many would have seen the victories gained by Greece and Denmark in recent years. The bookies have Germany as the favourites to lift the crown and there are many factors in favour of them. However prices around the 5.0 mark just don't seem value. Group B does however seem the easiest group to assess, in our view it has two clearly weaker sides in Austria and Poland whereas the other groups have at least three sides competing for the two available qualification spots. So the Croats look a solid bet at least for trading purposes later in the tournament. They are solid across the board (despite the absence of Eduardo) and have some real stars with the likes of Modric and Rakitic in midfield. They are a good tournament team and have a canny manager in Slaven Bilic. Their qualification record was excellent finishing five points clear of Russia and England in one of the more difficult groups. Finally they are definitely in the easier part of the draw avoiding the likes of Spain, Holland, France + Italy unti the final. We're happy to take the Croats to match up well to the Germans and Portuguese who are the major threats in their half and with their price being several points above those two opponents they are our choice for the value pick in the tournament outrights.
Spain traditionally disappoint in tournament play, for a country with such riches at it's disposal the lack of trophies in the cabinet borders on the criminal. Again they have a strong squad for this championship with their midfield and attack arguably the best in the tournament. The defensive positions are a worry with the lack of a quality cb to partner Puyol but they should have enough to outpoint a group of opponents who also have plenty of problems. The Russians have key players suspended and injured while Sweden were outclassed in their last meeting against the Spanish (3-0). Greece could prove a tricky opponent but they are the Spains last opponent and matters may already be decided by then. Spain are the quality outfit in this group and we'd rate them as more serious favourites than this.
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Agnus wins the FFO Competition netting £250!!! Congratulations to him and thanks to sponsors Paddy Power
We nail Cork @2.05 in the Irish Leagues
Elsewhere Hawkeye keeps up his usual excellent standards with 3/4 winners in Rugby League
While we also higlight England's defficiencies in the Cricket, laying them for a pot of cash at 1.69
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